來源:路透社

在其成員匯報了2013年初以來第一次出口訂單減少的情況下，英國主要制造業(yè)行業(yè)協(xié)會在周一調(diào)低了其2014年增長目標(biāo)預(yù)測。
英國工程雇主聯(lián)合會(EEF)表示,協(xié)會成員的季度調(diào)查顯示,在過去的三個月，產(chǎn)出和新業(yè)務(wù)增長量均放緩和,并將2014年產(chǎn)出預(yù)測從3.5%削減到3.3%。
但這仍將可能是行業(yè)自2009年下降超過10%，2010年產(chǎn)出反彈了4.2%之后的最快增長。
但預(yù)測下調(diào)跡象表明英國經(jīng)濟(jì)今年下半年將放緩步伐。
協(xié)會表示,隨著歐元區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)停滯不前,英鎊走強(qiáng)和政治風(fēng)險增加,雖然總體經(jīng)濟(jì)情況仍然是積極樂觀的，但需求在一段時間會充滿不確定。
“我們能看到制造商在繼續(xù)招募熟練工,增加他們來年的計劃投資,英國經(jīng)濟(jì)仍然需要平衡增長,”協(xié)會的首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家霍普利說到。
“然而,面對海外市場正在增加的下降風(fēng)險，這可能會使未來經(jīng)濟(jì)保持強(qiáng)勁增長,特別是出口強(qiáng)勢增長變得更具挑戰(zhàn)性。”
最新的英國制造業(yè)采購經(jīng)理人指數(shù)已于08月30日公布，路透社走訪的經(jīng)濟(jì)分析師預(yù)計自7月至8月增長略有放緩。
英國工程雇主聯(lián)合會(EEF)的調(diào)查是7月30日和8月20日之間進(jìn)行的,從298年公司取得反饋。
（翻譯來自中國進(jìn)出口網(wǎng)，轉(zhuǎn)載請注明出處）
(記者 Andy Bruce;編輯Tom Heneghan)


UK manufacturing growth cools as export orders slip: EEF
Workers inspect components on the fuel inlet production facility at Futaba Industrial in Foston, central England January 21, 2014.
CREDIT: REUTERS/DARREN STAPLES
(Reuters) - Britain's main manufacturing trade association trimmed its growth forecast for 2014 on Monday after its members reported the first fall in export orders since early 2013.

The EEF association said its quarterly survey of members showed slowing growth in output and new business over the last three months, and cut its forecast for factory output growth in 2014 to 3.3 percent from 3.5 percent.

This would still be the sector's fastest expansion since 2010, when output rebounded by 4.2 percent after slumping more than 10 percent in 2009.

But the forecast downgrade adds to signs that the British economy may lose some pace in the second half of this year.

The EEF said that with the euro zone economy stagnating, sterling strong and political risks on the rise, the picture for demand was now more uncertain than for some time, though the overall picture remained positive.

"We're seeing manufacturers continue to recruit for skilled jobs and increase their plans to invest in the coming year - exactly what the UK economy still needs for balanced growth," said Lee Hopley, the EEF's chief economist.

"However, there are clearly increasing downside risks overseas which could make sustaining strong growth and particularly stronger exports more challenging going forward."

The latest purchasing managers' index for Britain's manufacturing sector, a closely watched gauge of industrial activity, is due at 0830 GMT. Economists polled by Reuters expect growth slowed slightly in August from July.

The EEF survey was conducted between July 30 and Aug. 20, with responses from 298 companies.

(Reporting by Andy Bruce; Editing by Tom Heneghan)